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Taxes

Abdul El-Sayed’s taxing Billionaire Wealth proposal

Proposal

I believe in right-sizing our tax code to take on the outsized power of excess wealth in our economy and democracy. The ultrawealthy should no longer be able to hide behind loopholes that leave them paying lower tax rates than the rest of us. Toward that end, I support taxing capital gains over $1 million at the same rate as ordinary income and closing the stepped-up basis loophole. I also support taxing inheritance greater than $1 million like ordinary income and imposing a progressive tax on wealth held by trusts. I support raising the marginal tax rate on earnings over $1 million and a billionaire tax on wealth over $1 billion. In addition, I support a cost of living exemption on federal taxes up to $50,000. I’ll also fight to close the Social Security payroll tax cap to make sure the rich pay their fair share so that Social Security stays solvent well into the future.

Abdul El-Sayed’s tax position is a progressive wealth-and-income redistribution package. The basic idea is: wages are taxed too heavily relative to wealth, billionaires can legally avoid taxes through capital gains, trusts, inheritance rules, and the Social Security payroll cap, so the tax code should shift burden away from ordinary earners and toward concentrated wealth.

His listed proposals are mirrored on BallotReady: tax capital gains over $1 million like ordinary income, close stepped-up basis, tax inheritances over $1 million like ordinary income, tax wealth held in trusts, raise marginal tax rates over $1 million, impose a billionaire wealth tax over $1 billion, exempt the first $50,000 from federal taxes, and close the Social Security payroll tax cap. Source: BallotReady Abdul El-Sayed profile⁠Attachment.tiff

What He’s Arguing

  1. Wealth should not be taxed more lightly than work

    His strongest moral point is that a worker pays taxes every paycheck, while wealthy households can accumulate huge unrealized gains without annual income tax. Capital gains are usually taxed only when assets are sold, and often at preferential rates. This is why progressives argue that billionaires can look undertaxed relative to their true wealth growth.

  2. Close the “buy, borrow, die” path

    Closing stepped-up basis is central. Under current law, inherited assets generally receive a new tax basis at death, which can erase lifetime capital gains for income-tax purposes. Critics on the left see this as one of the biggest ways wealthy families pass untaxed gains across generations. Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities on stepped-up basis⁠Attachment.tiff

  3. Treat large inheritances more like income

    He wants inheritance over $1 million taxed as ordinary income. That is more aggressive than simply reforming the estate tax. Philosophically, he is saying: if someone receives a massive transfer of wealth, that should not be treated more favorably than someone earning wages.

  4. Tax trusts because they preserve dynastic wealth

    Trusts can be used for legitimate estate planning, but also to preserve family wealth and reduce tax exposure. A progressive tax on wealth held by trusts is aimed at preventing families from avoiding wealth-transfer rules through legal structures.

  5. Use the rich to shore up Social Security

    Social Security payroll tax applies only up to a wage cap. In 2026, that cap is $184,500, so wages above that are not subject to Social Security tax. Source: PolitiFact on the Social Security tax cap⁠Attachment.tiff El-Sayed’s view is that removing or closing the cap would make high earners pay more and improve solvency.

  6. Offset middle-class taxes with a $50,000 cost-of-living exemption

    This is the populist balancing piece. He is not only saying “tax the rich”; he is also saying ordinary people should keep more of their first dollars earned.

Best Counterarguments

  1. A wealth tax is hard to administer and easy to game

    The strongest technical objection is that taxing wealth is much harder than taxing income. Public stocks are easy to value, but private businesses, real estate, art, intellectual property, family partnerships, and trusts are harder. Annual valuation could create disputes, avoidance, litigation, and complex loopholes. The Tax Foundation argues wealth taxes face serious valuation, avoidance, and compliance problems. Source: Tax Foundation on wealth taxes⁠Attachment.tiff

    Strong version:

    Taxing billionaires sounds simple until the government has to value every private company, trust, partnership, and illiquid asset every year.

  2. It may reduce investment and entrepreneurship

    Critics argue that capital gains, inheritance, trusts, and billionaire wealth are often tied to business ownership. If taxes on capital rise too much, investors may take fewer risks, founders may sell earlier, firms may move assets abroad, or wealthy people may shift into less productive tax shelters. The concern is not sympathy for billionaires; it is whether taxing capital too aggressively reduces investment, productivity, and long-term wages.

    Strong version:

    The goal is to tax idle dynastic wealth, but the policy may also hit productive business capital and reduce future growth.

  3. Taxing unrealized wealth creates liquidity problems

    A billionaire’s wealth may be stock in a company, not cash. If the government taxes wealth annually, the owner may need to sell shares or borrow to pay the tax. For public stocks, that may be manageable; for private companies, farms, startups, or family businesses, it can be much harder. Brookings notes that wealth taxation can address real problems in the tax code but comes with implementation challenges. Source: Brookings on taxing wealth⁠Attachment.tiff

    Strong version:

    A person can be “rich” on paper but not have the cash flow to pay an annual wealth tax without selling ownership.

  4. Taxing inheritance over $1 million as ordinary income may hit more than the ultra-rich

    A $1 million threshold sounds high, but in places with expensive homes, family businesses, farms, or retirement assets, it could reach upper-middle-class families, not just billionaires. A critic would say the policy should target dynastic fortunes, not families passing on a house or small business.

    Strong version:

    If the target is billionaires, a $1 million inheritance threshold is too low and could punish ordinary estate planning.

  5. Closing the Social Security payroll cap changes the program’s design

    Social Security was built as a contributory social insurance program: workers pay in, then receive benefits based partly on earnings, with capped taxes and capped benefits. If high earners pay far more without receiving higher benefits, Social Security becomes more explicitly redistributive. That may be morally defensible, but critics say it weakens the earned-benefit logic that makes Social Security politically durable.

    Strong version:

    Removing the cap may improve solvency, but it turns Social Security more into welfare-style redistribution and less into earned social insurance.

  6. A $50,000 federal tax exemption could be extremely expensive

    Exempting the first $50,000 from federal taxes would reduce taxes for many households, but it could also dramatically shrink federal revenue unless offset by very large taxes elsewhere. Critics would ask whether taxes on millionaires and billionaires can reliably pay for that exemption, especially if wealthy taxpayers avoid, defer, relocate, or litigate.

    Strong version:

    The middle-class tax cut is politically attractive, but the math may depend on optimistic assumptions about how much revenue rich-person taxes can actually collect.

Bottom Line

El-Sayed’s tax plan is strongest as a fairness argument:

The current tax code often taxes labor more reliably than wealth, lets unrealized gains escape tax for decades, and allows large fortunes to move through trusts and inheritance rules. His plan tries to reverse that.

The strongest counterargument is practical and economic:

His plan may overestimate how easy it is to tax wealth, underestimate avoidance and valuation problems, and risk discouraging investment while creating a more complex tax code. The fairest-sounding taxes are not always the most administrable or growth-friendly taxes.

If these taxes and policies were implemented how much more money (estimated) would it bring in and how would the percentages change by income/wealth brackets change for who’s paying tax revenue?

Short answer: the rich-tax side could plausibly raise about $3–5+ trillion over 10 years, but the $50,000 federal tax exemption could cost about $4–5+ trillion. So the full package might be anywhere from roughly revenue-neutral to a net tax cut, unless the billionaire/wealth/inheritance taxes are designed very aggressively.

Estimated 10-Year Revenue

PolicyRough 10-year estimateConfidence
Tax capital gains over $1M as ordinary income + close stepped-up basis~$220B–$300BMedium. Similar Biden proposal was estimated around $289B over 10 years. Source: PwC summary of Biden FY2025 tax proposals⁠Attachment.tiff
Raise marginal income tax rate on earnings over $1M~$100B–$250BMedium-low. Depends on new rate.
Tax inheritances over $1M like ordinary income~$500B–$1TLow. Very design-sensitive and would overlap with estate/step-up changes.
Progressive tax on wealth held by trusts~$100B–$400BLow. Depends heavily on anti-avoidance rules.
Billionaire wealth tax over $1B~$500B–$1.5T+Low. Biden’s broader billionaire minimum tax over $100M was estimated at ~$503B; Warren/Sanders-style wealth taxes were estimated in the $2T+ range, but they had broader bases. Source: CBO analysis of Biden budget⁠Attachment.tiff, Tax Foundation wealth tax analysis⁠Attachment.tiff
Close / lift Social Security payroll tax cap~$1.4T over 10 years if earnings over $250K are taxedHigh. CBO estimates ~$1.427T for subjecting earnings above $250K to payroll taxes. Source: CBO payroll tax cap option⁠Attachment.tiff
Gross revenue from rich-tax side~$3T–$5.5TMedium-low overall

Then the big offset:

Tax CutRough 10-year costConfidence
Federal tax exemption up to $50,000~$4T–$5.1TMedium-low. A close Penn Wharton proxy for a large standard-deduction expansion estimated ~$5.1T over 10 years. Source: Penn Wharton Budget Model⁠Attachment.tiff

So my best estimate:

VersionNet 10-year effect
Without the $50K exemptionRaises roughly $3T–$5.5T
With the $50K exemptionRoughly -$2T to +$1.5T, depending on how aggressive the wealth/inheritance taxes are
Most realistic central guessAround revenue-neutral to +$500B over 10 years

How Tax Burden Would Shift

Baseline: federal taxes are already progressive, but payroll taxes make the middle class pay a large share. In 2021, CBO found the top income quintile received about 59% of income and paid 84% of federal taxes, though 2021 was unusual because capital gains were very high. Source: CBO distribution report⁠Attachment.tiff

A rough shift under El-Sayed’s package:

GroupCurrent rough federal tax burdenAfter package, likely direction
Bottom 40%Low or negative income tax; still pays payroll taxesIncome tax likely near zero or more negative; payroll still matters unless exemption touches payroll
Middle 40%Significant payroll tax, modest income taxBig income-tax cut from $50K exemption; share of total revenue falls
Top 20%Pays large majority of income taxes and most capital taxesShare rises further, especially from capital gains, inheritance, trust, and payroll cap changes
Top 1%Pays around mid-40% share of individual income taxes in many IRS measures; less of payroll taxesCould rise toward 55%–65% of individual income tax revenue, depending on design
Billionaires / ultrawealthyOften pay tax when income/gains are realized, not annually on wealth growthMuch larger share if wealth tax and step-up repeal are enforceable

Plain English Version

If implemented, the plan would probably do three things:

  1. Move more of the federal tax burden onto millionaires, billionaires, heirs, trusts, and high earners.
  2. Cut or eliminate federal income taxes for many lower- and middle-income households.
  3. Make Social Security financing more dependent on high earners by taxing wages above the current cap.

The catch is that the $50,000 exemption is so expensive that it could eat up most or all of the revenue from the rich-tax proposals unless the billionaire and inheritance taxes are very strong and very enforceable.

Show me the percentages of each group and how much they’d pay in % each year of tax revenue

Below is the cleanest estimate. There is no official score of El-Sayed’s exact plan, so these are rough annual shares of federal tax revenue based on CBO/IRS distribution data plus the likely effects of his proposals.

Baseline sources: CBO says the top income quintile paid 69% of federal taxes in 2019 and 84% in unusual pandemic/capital-gains-heavy 2021. IRS/Treasury data show the top 1% paid 38.4% of federal individual income taxes in 2023, while the bottom 50% paid 3.3%. Sources: CBO⁠Attachment.tiff, Tax Foundation / IRS data⁠Attachment.tiff

All Federal Taxes: Income + Payroll + Corporate + Excise

GroupCurrent rough share of annual federal tax revenueAfter El-Sayed-style package, rough share
Bottom 50%~10%–15%~5%–8%
50th–90th percentile~30%–40%~22%–30%
90th–99th percentile~25%–30%~25%–32%
Top 1%~20%–28%~35%–45%
Ultrawealthy / billionaires inside top 1%Small but concentrated; maybe ~3%–6% directlyPossibly ~8%–15%, depending on wealth tax design

Individual Income Taxes Only

GroupCurrent share of annual federal income tax revenueAfter package, rough share
Bottom 50%~3%~0%–1%
50th–90th percentile~25%–30%~10%–20%
90th–99th percentile~30%–35%~25%–35%
Top 1%~38%–46%~50%–65%
Top 0.1%~18%–25%~25%–40%

In Dollar Terms Per Year

Assume annual federal revenue around $5.6 trillion. CBO projected 2026 federal receipts around that level: individual income taxes ~$2.8T, payroll taxes ~$1.8T, corporate taxes ~$404B, customs duties ~$418B, and other ~$197B. Source: CBO budget outlook⁠Attachment.tiff

GroupCurrent annual federal taxes paidAfter package, rough annual taxes paid
Bottom 50%~$560B–$840B~$280B–$450B
50th–90th percentile~$1.7T–$2.2T~$1.2T–$1.7T
90th–99th percentile~$1.4T–$1.7T~$1.4T–$1.8T
Top 1%~$1.1T–$1.6T~$2.0T–$2.5T
Ultrawealthy / billionaires~$170B–$340B directly~$450B–$850B, if wealth tax works

Important Catch

If the $50,000 federal tax exemption is included, middle- and lower-income households pay much less federal income tax. That means the top 1% would pay a much larger percentage of total income-tax revenue, even if total federal revenue does not rise dramatically.

So the basic shift would be:

Bottom and middle pay much less federal income tax; upper-middle may pay similar or slightly more; millionaires, heirs, trusts, and billionaires pay much more; the top 1% becomes responsible for something like half or more of all individual income-tax revenue.

Give me what percentage the top 10% would pay of the yearly tax revenue in totality if and if not the $50,000 federal tax exemption was implemented

Estimated share of total yearly federal tax revenue paid by the top 10%:

ScenarioTop 10% share of total federal tax revenuePlain meaning
Current system, rough baseline~50%–55%The top 10% already pays about half of all federal revenue when counting income, payroll, corporate, excise, and other federal taxes.
El-Sayed rich-tax policies, without $50K exemption~55%–60%Their share rises because capital gains, inheritance, trusts, billionaire wealth, and Social Security cap changes mostly hit the top 10%.
El-Sayed rich-tax policies, with $50K exemption~60%–68%Their share rises more because lower- and middle-income households would pay much less federal income tax.

My best single-number estimate:

ScenarioBest estimate
Without $50K exemption~58% of total yearly federal tax revenue
With $50K exemption~64% of total yearly federal tax revenue

The $50K exemption matters because it reduces the tax contribution of the bottom 90%, especially through the individual income tax. So even if total federal revenue does not rise much, the share paid by the top 10% goes up sharply.

So with El-Sayed tax policies, the top 10% would only pay 5-10% more of taxes?

Yes, as a share of total federal tax revenue, roughly.

My estimate was:

ScenarioTop 10% share of all federal tax revenue
Current system~50%–55%
El-Sayed taxes, without $50K exemption~55%–60%
El-Sayed taxes, with $50K exemption~60%–68%

So compared with today:

  • Without the $50K exemption: top 10% pays about 5 percentage points more of total federal revenue.
  • With the $50K exemption: top 10% pays about 10–15 percentage points more of total federal revenue.

But an important distinction:

That does not mean each top-10% household pays only 5–10% more in taxes.

It means their share of the total federal tax pie rises by that amount.

Their actual tax bills could rise much more, especially for people with:

  • income above $1 million
  • large capital gains
  • major inheritances
  • trusts
  • wealth above $1 billion
  • wages above the Social Security payroll cap

For example, a doctor earning $300k may see a moderate increase mainly from Social Security cap changes. But a billionaire founder, private-equity partner, heir, or investor with huge capital gains could see a very large increase.

The reason the total-share increase looks modest is that the top 10% already pays a huge share of federal taxes under the current system. Moving from ~53% to ~63% is actually a major redistribution of the federal tax burden.

Give me an example of an individual billionaire and how much more money and % of money they’d pay for one year

Example: Elon Musk, using Forbes’ real-time estimate of about $946.7 billion net worth as of June 27, 2026. Source: Forbes Real-Time Billionaires⁠Attachment.tiff

Because El-Sayed does not specify the billionaire tax rate, here are illustrative possibilities.

If The Billionaire Tax Is An Annual Wealth Tax

Assumed billionaire taxTaxable wealth above $1BOne-year tax owed% of total net worth
1% over $1B~$945.7B~$9.46B~1.0%
2% over $1B~$945.7B~$18.91B~2.0%
3% over $1B~$945.7B~$28.37B~3.0%

So if El-Sayed’s “billionaire tax” meant a 1% annual tax on wealth above $1 billion, Musk would pay roughly $9.5 billion more in one year than he would under current federal law on unrealized wealth.

If He Also Sold $10B In Stock That Year

Under current federal law, long-term capital gains are generally taxed up to 20%, plus the 3.8% net investment income tax, for a top federal rate of about 23.8%. Source: Tax Policy Center on capital gains⁠Attachment.tiff

Assume he sells $10B of stock with almost all of it taxable gain:

Tax systemFederal tax on $10B realized gain
Current law, ~23.8%~$2.38B
El-Sayed-style ordinary income treatment, assume ~39.6% + 3.8% = 43.4%~$4.34B
Extra tax from capital-gains change~$1.96B more

Combined Example

If Musk had $946.7B net worth and sold $10B in stock:

ScenarioExtra one-year tax under El-Sayed-style policy
1% billionaire wealth tax + higher capital gains tax~$11.4B more
2% billionaire wealth tax + higher capital gains tax~$20.9B more
3% billionaire wealth tax + higher capital gains tax~$30.3B more

Plain English:

Under a 1% billionaire wealth tax, someone like Musk could owe about $9.5B per year just for holding the wealth, plus roughly $2B more if he realized $10B in capital gains. That would be about 1.2% of his net worth in this example.

Has Abdul or the Democratic Socialists of America said what they’d recommend as a annual wealth-tax rate

Short answer: I found no specific annual wealth-tax rate from Abdul El-Sayed himself. He says he supports a “billionaire tax on wealth over $1 billion,” but the version I found does not specify whether that means 1%, 2%, 5%, a minimum tax, or something else.

For DSA, it depends which DSA body you mean:

SourceSpecific rate?What they say
Abdul El-SayedNo rate foundSupports “a billionaire tax on wealth over $1 billion,” but I found no annual percentage rate.
National DSA platformNo clear rate foundCalls for “Tax the Rich,” but the public platform language I found does not specify an annual wealth-tax rate. Source: DSA Program⁠Attachment.tiff
California DSAYes, but one-timeEndorsed California’s Billionaire Tax Act: a one-time 5% tax on individuals worth over $1 billion. Source: California DSA⁠Attachment.tiff
Sanders / Ro Khanna proposal, DSA-adjacent democratic-socialist laneYes, annualProposed a 5% annual wealth tax on U.S. billionaires. Source: Forbes⁠Attachment.tiff
Warren/Jayapal/Boyle Ultra-Millionaire Tax ActYes, annual, broader than billionairesCommonly framed as an annual wealth tax on fortunes above $50M, with higher rates above $1B; recent coverage says it could raise $6.2T. Source: Common Dreams⁠Attachment.tiff

So the clean answer is:

Abdul: no rate specified that I found.
National DSA: no single official annual rate found.
California DSA: endorsed a one-time 5% billionaire tax.
Sanders/Khanna: proposed a 5% annual billionaire wealth tax, which is probably the closest current “democratic socialist” benchmark.

What effects would these policies have the economy? How would billionaires deal with getting a 5% tax on their wealth annually like in Sanders proposal when they’d have to sell their stocks (since most of their wealth is in invested capital not cash) and transfer it to the government? Wouldn’t that take money away from the economy, giving it to the government, and therefore would harm the economy thus reducing taxes for the next year? Would this cause people to invest less, companies invest less and have long term effects? Analyze how this would harm the economy and then compare to countries that have implemented similar policies and how it affected their economy, positive and negatives.

Yes, a 5% annual billionaire wealth tax would likely have real economic costs, especially because it is much higher than most existing wealth taxes. The key issue is that billionaires usually do not hold most of their wealth in cash. Their wealth is mostly stock, private-company equity, real estate, partnership interests, intellectual property, and control stakes. So to pay a 5% annual wealth tax, they would usually have to do some mix of:

  1. Sell shares/assets
  2. Borrow against assets
  3. Force companies to pay dividends
  4. Move residence/assets if possible
  5. Restructure ownership through trusts, foundations, foreign entities, or private holding companies
  6. Reduce future investment or delay taking companies public

A 5% annual tax is very large. If someone has $100 billion, a 5% annual tax is $5 billion every year. If their assets grow 7% that year, the government takes most of the real return. If their assets grow 2%, the tax exceeds the return, meaning their fortune shrinks unless they sell assets.

Important Correction
It would not literally “take money out of the economy” in the simple sense. The government receives the money and then spends it, transfers it, pays debt, or invests it. So the money does not disappear.

But it does change who controls capital:

Instead of the billionaire allocating capital through private investment, the government reallocates it through public spending, transfers, debt reduction, or public investment.

That can be good or bad depending on which side allocates the money more productively.

How It Could Harm The Economy

  1. Forced Selling Could Reduce Founder Control

    If a billionaire founder owns a large company stake, paying 5% annually may require selling shares every year. Over time, that can dilute control. For someone like Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, or Jensen Huang, their wealth is largely tied to company ownership. A 5% annual tax could force repeated sales of shares.

    That could:

    • reduce founder control
    • create market pressure on the stock
    • push founders to take dividends or compensation
    • discourage founders from keeping large ownership stakes
    • encourage companies to stay private or move ownership structures offshore
  2. It Could Reduce Investment Incentives

    A wealth tax taxes the stock of wealth whether or not the asset produces cash. That makes the after-tax return on investment lower. If you believe a startup could become worth $10 billion, an annual 5% wealth tax on your ownership stake changes the payoff dramatically.

    This matters especially for:

    • startups
    • private companies
    • venture capital
    • founders with illiquid equity
    • family businesses
    • long-horizon R&D-heavy firms

    The Tax Foundation argues wealth taxes can reduce saving, investment, and capital formation, and notes many OECD countries repealed them because of administrative difficulty, avoidance, and capital flight. Source: Tax Foundation, “The High Cost of Wealth Taxes”⁠Attachment.tiff

  3. It Could Encourage Avoidance Instead Of Productive Activity

    The richer the taxpayer, the more access they have to tax lawyers, valuation specialists, trusts, private foundations, family offices, and international structures. So instead of simply paying the tax, many would spend heavily on avoidance.

    That creates economic waste:

    • lawyers and accountants fight over valuations
    • assets move into harder-to-value forms
    • private companies avoid clear market pricing
    • taxpayers litigate IRS valuations
    • capital may be shifted abroad
  4. It Could Reduce Future Tax Revenue If It Shrinks The Tax Base

    Your instinct here is right. If the tax reduces investment, lowers asset values, causes wealthy people to leave, or leads to avoidance, then the taxable base can shrink. That means the government may collect less than projected in later years.

    This is one reason wealth-tax revenue estimates vary so much. The policy may raise a lot in year one, but over time people adapt.

  5. It Could Hurt Workers If Business Investment Falls

    The harm is not mainly “poor billionaires have less money.” The serious concern is whether less private capital investment means:

    • fewer startups
    • slower productivity growth
    • fewer high-growth firms
    • lower wages over time
    • reduced business formation
    • less domestic capital ownership

    A wealth tax aimed at billionaires can partly fall on workers if it reduces the capital stock or business expansion.

Evidence From Other Countries

Most real-world wealth taxes are far below 5% annually.

CountryWealth tax experienceEffects
NorwayStill has wealth tax, around 1%–1.1% on net wealth above thresholdsRaises revenue and supports egalitarian tax system, but has caused wealthy outmigration and complaints from entrepreneurs. Reuters reported the tax raises about 0.6% of GDP, while critics argue it weakens business competitiveness. Source: Reuters on Norway’s wealth tax⁠Attachment.tiff
SwitzerlandLong-standing cantonal wealth taxes, generally low rates, often below 1%More sustainable because rates are lower, system is familiar, and Switzerland has no broad private capital-gains tax for many individuals. It raises meaningful local revenue but is not equivalent to a 5% billionaire tax.
FranceReplaced broad wealth tax with real-estate-focused wealth tax in 2018Repeal/reform benefited the wealthy and cost public finances around €3.4–€3.5B per year in short-run estimates, but the old tax was criticized for capital flight and weak investment incentives. Source: INSEE on France’s 2018 capital tax reforms⁠Attachment.tiff
SwedenRepealed wealth tax in 2007Repeal was driven by concerns over capital flight, avoidance, and limited revenue. Sweden still has a large welfare state, but funds it more through broad-based taxes, especially labor and consumption taxes.
GermanyWealth tax effectively ended after constitutional problems in 1997Concerns included unequal valuation of assets and constitutional issues.
SpainHas wealth tax and a solidarity tax on large fortunes, but with exemptions and limitsRates can be higher on paper, but exemptions, regional differences, and caps often reduce actual burden.

The OECD found that the number of OECD countries with individual net wealth taxes fell from 12 in 1990 to 4 in 2017, largely because of efficiency costs, capital flight, avoidance, administrative difficulty, and limited revenue. Source: OECD, “The Role and Design of Net Wealth Taxes”⁠Attachment.tiff

But The Evidence Is Not One-Sided

A 2024 NBER paper using Scandinavian data found that wealth taxes do cause wealthy people to move, but the aggregate economic effects were modest: a 1 percentage point increase in the top wealth tax rate reduced the stock of wealthy taxpayers by about 2%, while reducing employment by about 0.02%, investment by 0.07%, and value-added by 0.10%. Source: NBER, “Taxing Top Wealth”⁠Attachment.tiff

That is the best pro-wealth-tax evidence: the economic damage may be real but not catastrophic at moderate rates.

But here is the key:

That study concerns wealth-tax changes around Scandinavian-style rates, not a U.S. 5% annual billionaire tax.

A 5% annual tax is much more aggressive than Norway’s roughly 1%–1.1% wealth tax or Switzerland’s generally sub-1% cantonal taxes. The behavioral response could be much larger.

Positive Effects

A wealth tax could have benefits:

  1. Raises revenue from people who often avoid income realization

    Billionaires can borrow against assets and avoid selling, meaning they may pay little tax relative to wealth growth.

  2. Reduces dynastic wealth concentration

    It can slow the accumulation of inherited or founder wealth.

  3. Funds public investment

    If used for infrastructure, childcare, education, health care, basic research, or debt reduction, the money could raise long-term productivity.

  4. Reduces political inequality

    Supporters argue concentrated wealth becomes concentrated political power.

  5. May push idle wealth into more productive use

    A tax on wealth can pressure owners to earn returns above the tax rate instead of passively holding assets.

Negative Effects

The strongest harms are:

  1. Valuation problems

    Hard-to-value private companies, art, real estate, trusts, and illiquid stakes become battlegrounds.

  2. Liquidity problems

    People may owe taxes without cash income.

  3. Capital flight and avoidance

    Wealthy households can move, restructure, or hide assets.

  4. Lower investment

    The after-tax return to risk-taking falls.

  5. Forced selling

    Billionaires may need to sell stock or control stakes annually.

  6. Revenue instability

    If markets fall, wealth-tax revenue falls too.

  7. Government allocation risk

    The policy assumes government will use the money better than private capital markets. Sometimes it will; sometimes it will not.

My Bottom Line

A modest wealth tax, like 0.5%–1%, can plausibly raise revenue and reduce inequality with manageable damage if designed well.

A 5% annual billionaire wealth tax is much more radical. It would likely raise large revenue at first, but also create strong incentives for avoidance, relocation, forced selling, reduced investment, and valuation battles. It would probably reduce billionaire wealth concentration substantially, but at the cost of some private investment and entrepreneurial incentives.

The fairest summary:

A 5% annual wealth tax would not simply remove money from the economy, but it would shift capital allocation from private owners to the state. If the government invests the money productively, the economy could benefit. If it mostly funds consumption, bureaucracy, or inefficient programs, the long-term effect could be slower investment, lower capital formation, and lower future tax revenue.

Compare Abdul’s policies to other nations if they have implemented any of them and what have been the results?

Below is a comparison of Abdul El-Sayed’s tax ideas with countries that have tried similar policies. The key pattern: many countries tax wealth/capital more than the U.S. in some ways, but very few use an aggressive annual wealth tax like Sanders’ 5% billionaire proposal.

Abdul PolicyOther Countries With Similar PolicyResults
Annual wealth tax / billionaire taxNorway, Switzerland, Spain, France formerly, Sweden formerlyWealth taxes can raise revenue and reduce wealth concentration, but many countries repealed them because of avoidance, valuation problems, capital flight, and limited revenue. OECD says the number of OECD countries with net wealth taxes fell from 12 in 1990 to 4 in 2017. Source: OECD⁠Attachment.tiff
Tax capital gains more like ordinary incomeDenmark, France, UK, Canada, Australia, NorwayMany countries tax capital gains, but usually with special rules, discounts, exemptions, or lower effective rates. Very high capital-gains rates can discourage realization: people delay selling assets, hold wealth longer, borrow against assets, or move capital.
Close stepped-up basis / tax gains at deathCanada has deemed disposition at deathCanada generally treats death as if assets were sold, so unrealized capital gains can be taxed at death. This prevents permanent escape from capital-gains tax, but creates liquidity issues for family businesses, farms, and estates unless exemptions/deferrals exist.
Tax inheritances more heavilyUK, Japan, South Korea, France, Germany, SpainInheritance/estate taxes are common, but often have exemptions for spouses, family businesses, farms, and primary residences. Japan and South Korea have very high top inheritance tax rates, but this can create succession problems for family-owned firms.
Wealth held in trusts taxed more aggressivelyUK, Canada, Australia, some EU countriesTrust taxation exists to prevent avoidance, but wealthy families often adapt through legal structures, foundations, offshore entities, or timing strategies. Strong anti-avoidance rules matter more than headline rates.
Higher marginal income tax rates over $1MNordic countries, Germany, France, UK, Canada, AustraliaHigh earners often face top marginal rates between roughly 45% and 55% when national/local taxes are included. These countries can sustain higher tax burdens, but they usually tax broad middle-class consumption and payroll too, not only the ultra-rich.
Remove or raise Social Security payroll tax capMedicare-style uncapped payroll taxes exist in U.S.; many countries have broader payroll/social contribution systemsRemoving the cap would raise significant revenue. CBO estimated that taxing earnings above $250,000 for Social Security would raise about $1.4 trillion over 10 years. Source: CBO⁠Attachment.tiff
Large federal exemption / tax-free first $50KMany countries have personal allowances, but usually much smaller relative to incomeA large exemption cuts taxes for low/middle earners but is expensive. To fund it, countries usually rely on VAT/consumption taxes, payroll taxes, or broad-based taxes, not only taxes on billionaires.

Wealth Tax Lessons

The closest comparisons are Norway, Switzerland, Spain, France, and Sweden.

CountryPolicyResult
NorwayAnnual wealth tax around 1%–1.1% above thresholdsRaises revenue and supports equality, but has caused wealthy outmigration and complaints from entrepreneurs. Reuters reported the tax raises about 0.6% of GDP. Source: Reuters⁠Attachment.tiff
SwitzerlandCantonal wealth taxes, usually low rates, often below 1%More stable because rates are low, the system is long-standing, and Switzerland often has favorable capital-gains treatment. It is not comparable to a 5% annual billionaire tax.
FranceFormer broad wealth tax, later narrowed to real estate wealth taxFrance partially repealed its wealth tax in 2018. INSEE found the reform benefited the very wealthy and cost public finances around €3.4–€3.5B per year in the short term. Source: INSEE⁠Attachment.tiff
SwedenRepealed wealth tax in 2007Repeal followed concerns about capital flight, avoidance, and weak revenue. Sweden still funds a large welfare state, but mainly through broad income, payroll, and consumption taxes.
SpainWealth tax plus solidarity tax on large fortunesExists, but exemptions, regional rules, and caps reduce its force. It raises some revenue but is not a simple “tax billionaires 5% yearly” model.

Capital Gains / Step-Up Basis

El-Sayed’s idea to tax capital gains over $1M like ordinary income is similar to proposals in the U.S. Democratic Party and some high-tax countries, but most countries still preserve special treatment for capital.

Canada is the best comparison for closing stepped-up basis. Canada generally has a “deemed disposition” at death, meaning unrealized gains can become taxable when someone dies. That solves the U.S. “buy, borrow, die” loophole better than the American system, but it requires exceptions and deferrals to avoid forcing sales of farms, family businesses, or illiquid estates.

Inheritance Taxes

Heavy inheritance taxation exists in many rich democracies. Japan and South Korea have some of the highest top inheritance rates. The upside is less dynastic wealth. The downside is that heirs of family businesses may need to sell shares or restructure ownership to pay taxes.

That matters for Abdul’s idea of taxing inheritances over $1M like ordinary income. A $1M threshold would be much broader than a billionaire-only tax and could hit upper-middle-class estates in high-cost areas unless carefully designed.

Main Takeaway

Other countries have implemented pieces of Abdul’s agenda, but usually in less aggressive, more complex forms:

  • Wealth taxes exist, but usually around 0.1%–1.1%, not 5%.
  • High marginal income taxes exist, but they usually come with broad taxes on the middle class too.
  • Capital gains and inheritance taxes exist, but with many exemptions.
  • Closing stepped-up basis is feasible, as Canada shows, but liquidity problems must be managed.

The biggest lesson:

Abdul’s tax agenda is directionally similar to European social-democratic taxation, but his billionaire/wealth-tax language, if interpreted as a 5% annual tax, would be much more aggressive than most successful real-world systems.

Below is a deeper country-by-country and policy-by-policy comparison. Big picture first:

Abdul El-Sayed’s tax agenda resembles left-social-democratic tax policy in goals, but not always in design. Other rich countries often tax capital, inheritances, payroll, and high income more aggressively than the U.S., but they usually fund large welfare states through broad taxes on the middle class too, especially VAT/payroll taxes. They rarely rely only on billionaires.

1. Annual Wealth / Billionaire Tax

Abdul supports a “billionaire tax on wealth over $1 billion,” but I have not found him specifying the rate. If interpreted like Sanders/Khanna’s 5% annual billionaire wealth tax, that would be far more aggressive than most real-world wealth taxes.

CountrySimilar PolicyResults
NorwayAnnual wealth tax around 1%–1.1% above thresholds.Raises revenue and supports equality, but has encouraged wealthy outmigration and complaints from entrepreneurs. Reuters reported it raises about 0.6% of GDP, while critics say it weakens business competitiveness. Source: Reuters on Norway’s wealth tax⁠Attachment.tiff
SwitzerlandCantonal wealth taxes, generally low, often below 1%.More stable because rates are low, long-standing, decentralized, and Switzerland often exempts private capital gains on movable assets. It is not comparable to a 5% annual billionaire tax.
FranceFormer broad wealth tax, later narrowed to real estate wealth tax in 2018.Reform/repeal benefited the wealthy and cost public finances about €3.4–€3.5B per year in short-run estimates, but the old tax was criticized for capital flight, avoidance, and weak investment incentives. Source: INSEE on France’s capital tax reform⁠Attachment.tiff
SwedenRepealed wealth tax in 2007.Repeal followed concerns about capital flight, avoidance, limited revenue, and discouraging domestic capital ownership. Sweden still has a large welfare state, but funds it mostly through broad income, payroll, and consumption taxes.
GermanyWealth tax ended after constitutional problems in 1997.Main issue was unequal valuation of different asset types, especially real estate versus financial assets.
SpainWealth tax plus “solidarity tax” on large fortunes.Exists, but regional variation, exemptions, and caps reduce effective burden. It raises revenue but is not a simple high-rate billionaire tax.

OECD’s broad finding is important: the number of OECD countries with individual net wealth taxes fell from 12 in 1990 to 4 in 2017, mainly because of administrative costs, avoidance, capital flight, narrow bases, and limited revenue. Source: OECD, Role and Design of Net Wealth Taxes⁠Attachment.tiff

Assessment: A modest wealth tax around 0.5%–1% has real-world precedent. A 5% annual billionaire tax would be much more radical and would likely create stronger incentives for avoidance, relocation, forced stock sales, and reduced founder control.

2. Tax Capital Gains Like Ordinary Income

Abdul supports taxing capital gains over $1 million at ordinary income rates.

CountrySimilar PolicyResults
DenmarkTop capital gains rate around 42%, among the highest in Europe.Denmark sustains this within a high-tax, high-service model. But it also taxes broadly; it does not fund the welfare state only through the rich. Source: Tax Foundation Europe capital gains rates⁠Attachment.tiff
NorwayCapital gains on shares taxed at an effective top rate around 37.8%.Works within Norway’s broader egalitarian tax system, though capital taxation remains politically controversial.
FranceCapital gains generally taxed through a flat system plus surcharges; top listed-share rate around 34%.France lowered some capital-tax burdens in 2018 to encourage investment; this benefited high-income households and reduced revenue.
SwitzerlandOften 0% tax on private capital gains from movable assets like shares.Switzerland pairs low capital-gains taxation with wealth taxes and other taxes. This shows countries mix tools differently.
U.S. currentlyPreferential long-term capital gains rates, top federal rate generally 20% plus 3.8% NIIT.Encourages holding assets and creates “buy, borrow, die” planning.

Assessment: Taxing capital gains more heavily is common, but full ordinary-income treatment is not universal. High capital-gains taxes can raise fairness but increase the “lock-in effect”: investors delay selling assets to avoid tax, which can reduce market efficiency and revenue.

3. Closing Stepped-Up Basis / Taxing Gains At Death

This is one of Abdul’s strongest and most internationally defensible proposals.

CountrySimilar PolicyResults
CanadaHas “deemed disposition” at death: a person is treated as if they sold capital property immediately before death, unless exceptions apply.This prevents unrealized gains from escaping tax forever. But it creates liquidity issues for estates with illiquid assets, so Canada has spouse rollovers and exemptions. Source: Canada Revenue Agency on deemed disposition at death⁠Attachment.tiff
U.S. currentlyStep-up in basis generally wipes out capital gains at death.This is central to “buy, borrow, die”: hold appreciated assets, borrow against them, then pass them to heirs with reset basis.

Assessment: Compared with a 5% annual wealth tax, closing stepped-up basis is more administrable because it taxes at a clear event: death or transfer. It still needs protections for farms, family businesses, and illiquid estates.

4. Taxing Inheritances More Heavily

Abdul supports taxing inheritances greater than $1 million like ordinary income.

CountrySimilar PolicyResults
Japan / South KoreaVery high top inheritance tax rates.Helps reduce dynastic concentration, but can pressure heirs of family-controlled firms to sell shares or restructure ownership.
UKInheritance tax, with exemptions and reliefs.Raises revenue but has many avoidance strategies and reliefs for business/agricultural property.
France / Germany / BelgiumInheritance taxes with family relationship rules and exemptions.Revenue and fairness depend heavily on design. Close relatives often receive preferential treatment.
OECD overall24 OECD countries levy inheritance or estate taxes.But these taxes raise only about 0.5% of total tax revenue on average among countries that levy them, largely because of exemptions, planning, and narrow bases. Source: OECD inheritance taxation report⁠Attachment.tiff

Assessment: Inheritance taxation is common, but Abdul’s $1 million threshold would be more aggressive than a billionaire-only policy. In high-cost areas, it could reach upper-middle-class estates unless carefully adjusted for spouses, homes, farms, and family businesses.

5. Taxing Trust Wealth

Abdul supports a progressive tax on wealth held by trusts.

CountrySimilar PolicyResults
UK / Canada / Australia / EU countriesTrusts are regulated and taxed to prevent avoidance.Strong anti-avoidance rules help, but wealthy families adapt with foundations, offshore entities, timing strategies, and valuation planning.
U.S. currentlyTrusts can face compressed income-tax brackets, but sophisticated estate planning remains powerful.Dynastic trusts and valuation discounts can preserve wealth across generations.

Assessment: This is less about headline rates and more about enforcement. If trust rules are weak, wealth taxes and inheritance taxes leak. If rules are strong, they become complex and litigation-heavy.

6. Raising Top Marginal Income Tax Rates

Abdul supports raising the marginal tax rate on earnings over $1 million.

CountrySimilar PolicyResults
Nordic countriesHigh top marginal rates, often around 50%+ including local taxes.Sustainable because citizens receive broad services, and taxes are broad-based. They also tax middle earners much more than U.S. politicians usually admit.
UK / Germany / France / Canada / AustraliaTop rates often in the 45%–55% range depending on region.Common in advanced economies. Can raise revenue but may affect migration, compensation structure, and avoidance at very high incomes.
U.S. historicalHad much higher statutory top rates in mid-20th century.Effective rates were lower than headline rates due to deductions and shelters.

Assessment: This is one of Abdul’s more normal international proposals. Many wealthy democracies have higher top marginal rates than the U.S. The catch: they usually pair this with broad taxes, not only millionaire taxes.

7. Closing The Social Security Payroll Tax Cap

Abdul supports closing the payroll tax cap to improve Social Security solvency.

CountrySimilar PolicyResults
Many European systemsSocial insurance contributions often have caps, but structures vary. Some countries use broader payroll/social contributions.High payroll taxes can fund generous benefits, but they also raise labor costs.
U.S. Medicare taxAlready uncapped, with an additional high-income Medicare surtax.Shows the U.S. can administer uncapped payroll-style taxes.
U.S. Social SecurityCurrently capped because benefits are also capped.Removing the cap would raise large revenue but make Social Security more redistributive. CBO estimated taxing earnings above $250,000 would raise about $1.4T over 10 years. Source: CBO Social Security payroll tax cap option⁠Attachment.tiff

Assessment: This is feasible and high-revenue. The conservative counter is that it changes Social Security from an earned-benefit program toward a more explicitly redistributive tax-and-transfer program.

8. $50,000 Federal Tax Exemption

This is where Abdul’s plan differs most from European social democracy.

CountrySimilar PolicyResults
Most OECD countriesHave personal allowances, zero-rate brackets, or credits.But they are usually not so large that broad middle-class taxation disappears.
Nordic countriesHigh services, but broad taxation.Middle-class citizens pay significant income/payroll/VAT taxes.
U.S.-style proposalA very large exemption would sharply reduce federal income taxes for low/middle earners.Politically attractive, but expensive. It would require very high revenue from the rich or spending cuts/deficits.

Assessment: A $50,000 exemption is populist, but it is not how most high-service countries fund government. Europe’s lesson is: big welfare states usually require broad tax bases.

Overall Results From Other Nations

Policy AreaWhat WorkedWhat Failed / Backfired
Wealth taxesCan reduce concentration and raise some revenue at low/moderate rates.High avoidance, valuation disputes, capital flight, low revenue, repeal in many countries.
Capital gains taxationHigher rates can increase fairness and revenue.Too high can create lock-in, avoidance, and lower realizations.
Taxing gains at deathCanada shows it is feasible.Needs exemptions/deferrals for illiquid estates.
Inheritance taxesCommon and defensible for reducing dynastic wealth.Often raise little because exemptions/planning narrow the base.
Trust taxationNecessary to prevent avoidance.Complex, lawyer-heavy, difficult to enforce.
Payroll cap removalRaises large, reliable revenue.Raises labor costs and changes Social Security’s contributory design.
Large exemption for ordinary earnersHelps low/middle earners.Very expensive; not how most social democracies finance spending.

Bottom Line

Abdul’s policies are not random. Almost every piece has a real-world analogue. But the international evidence suggests three lessons:

  1. Closing stepped-up basis and taxing inheritances better are more proven than a large annual wealth tax.
  2. A modest wealth tax can work, but a 5% annual billionaire tax would be far above most successful examples.
  3. European-style social democracy usually depends on broad taxation, not only taxing billionaires.

So the strongest balanced conclusion is:

Abdul’s plan is plausible as a fairness agenda, especially on capital gains, step-up basis, inheritance, and Social Security. But if the billionaire tax is interpreted as a 5% annual wealth tax, that would be much more aggressive than most international examples and would likely create serious avoidance, investment, valuation, and migration problems.

Compare Nordic countries middle class tax rates with U.S. middle class rates

Yes. The basic answer is:

Nordic countries do not fund their welfare states just by taxing the rich. Their middle class pays substantially higher taxes than the U.S. middle class, especially through labor taxes and VAT.

1. Taxes On The Average Worker

OECD’s “tax wedge” measures income tax + employee payroll/social contributions + employer payroll/social contributions, minus cash benefits, as a share of total labor cost.

CountrySingle average worker tax wedge, 2025One-earner couple w/ 2 children, 2025
United States30.0%19.6%
Denmark35.8%Not in snippet, but employee net rate for married worker w/ children: 26.1%
Norway36.4%31.4%
Sweden41.1%36.8%
Finland42.5%38.7%
OECD average35.1%26.2%

Sources: OECD Taxing Wages 2026: U.S.⁠Attachment.tiff, OECD: Sweden⁠Attachment.tiff, OECD: Norway⁠Attachment.tiff, OECD: Finland⁠Attachment.tiff, OECD: Denmark⁠Attachment.tiff

Plain English Example

If an employer spends $100 to employ an average worker:

CountryGoes to taxes/social contributionsWorker + benefit value left
U.S.~$30~$70
Denmark~$36~$64
Norway~$36~$64
Sweden~$41~$59
Finland~$43~$57

So compared with the U.S., the average worker tax burden is roughly:

  • Denmark: +6 percentage points
  • Norway: +6 percentage points
  • Sweden: +11 percentage points
  • Finland: +12.5 percentage points

2. Consumption Taxes / VAT

This is the huge difference people often miss.

CountryStandard VAT / sales tax
United StatesNo federal VAT; state/local sales taxes vary
Denmark25% VAT
Sweden25% VAT
Norway25% VAT
Finland25.5% VAT

Source: Tax Foundation VAT rates in Europe⁠Attachment.tiff

This means Nordic middle-class citizens pay more not only when they earn money, but also when they spend it.

3. Total Taxes As Share Of GDP

This shows the overall size of the tax system.

CountryTax revenue as % of GDP, 2023
United StatesBelow 30%
Denmark44.0% in 2023 / 45.2% in 2024 preliminary
FinlandAbove 40%
SwedenAbove 40%
NorwayAbove 40%

OECD reports that in 2023 Denmark had the highest tax-to-GDP ratio at 44.0%, and Finland, Sweden, and Norway were also above 40%. The U.S. was among countries below 30%. Source: OECD Revenue Statistics 2025⁠Attachment.tiff

Bottom Line

Nordic countries tax the wealthy, but their model is not “make billionaires pay and leave the middle class alone.”

It is closer to:

High taxes on almost everyone, especially the middle and upper-middle class, in exchange for universal health care, childcare support, paid leave, education, pensions, and stronger social insurance.

So if someone says, “Let’s have Nordic-style benefits,” the honest tax answer is:

That would almost certainly require higher taxes on the U.S. middle class too, especially through payroll taxes, income taxes, or a VAT. You cannot realistically fund a Nordic welfare state only by taxing millionaires and billionaires.